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20170608

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It's UK election day for the make-up of the national parliament. The campaigning has twice been interrupted by terrorist attacks, one in Manchester and one in London but both main parties have stayed away from capitalising on the events.

The polls have showed a walkover for Theresa May and her Conservative Party leeching support until the gap between them and Jeremy Corbin's Labour Party is now within the bounds of statistical uncertainty. Or at least it is if the polls can be believed.

YouGov is supposedly independent and it does not use the same methodology as the survey companies but its polls have, in recent years, tended to support a generally leftist agenda. It has been putting Corbyn and Labour far closer to the Conservatives and May than any other poll but, on the morning that campaigning stops and voting starts, it has reversed its position raising the spectre of a poll that has been manipulated to mobilise Labour supporters out of complacency.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/new...

The Economist has a fascinating survey which shows why Labour is so anxious to reduce the voting age from 18 to 16. Its increased support, says the Economist, has come from women and, mostly, the young.

http://www.economist.com/blogs...

On the eve of the Election, the Labour Party relieved MP Diane Abbot of her duties, they say temporarily. She has been a tireless crusader for Labour for over 30 years and while one may not agree with her politics, one has to admire her personal qualities. But in recent weeks, she has become a major liability to the party. It is now reported that she has a long-term illness that may have been the reason for some of her more disastrous personal appearances. We wish her well but in the same breath must question the judgement of the Labour Party in keeping her front and centre, often a lightning rod for criticism put towards the undeniably grey Jeremy Corbyn, when her health and performance were deteriorating. Having said that, she continues to tweet the Party line of vacuous slogans with no substantive policy to back them up.

https://twitter.com/hackneyabbott

Another round-up of last minute polls shows a wide variation in predictions calling the entire process into question. Perhaps it's time to ban polls.

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/p...

The YouGov methodology is set out here:
https://yougov.co.uk/news/cate...

 


 

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